What CRH's Recent Earnings Track Record Actually Shows
Over the last eight reported quarters, CRH has beaten the consensus EPS estimate in three of those quarters, a 50% beat rate, and the average earnings surprise across the full streak is negative 13.1%. The average five-day price move in the five trading days after these reports is negative 3.51%, which is classified as a downward post-event drift. Looking at the four most recent prints, the numbers show a pattern where even headline beats have not produced sustained rallies. On 2026-07-30, CRH reported actual EPS of $2.21 against an estimate of $2.02, a 9.4% surprise and a beat, yet the stock fell 1.03% the next day and posted 0% over the following five days. On 2026-04-30, actual EPS was negative $0.27 versus an estimate of negative $0.21868, a negative 23.5% surprise and a miss, with the stock dropping 2.51% the next day and 4.89% over the following five days. On 2026-02-18, actual EPS of $1.52 matched the $1.52 estimate exactly, a 0% inline result, producing a 0.59% next-day gain but a 3.68% loss over the next five sessions. On 2025-11-05, actual EPS of $2.23 beat the $2.20 estimate by 1.4%, yet the stock still slipped 0.77% the next day and 1.96% over the following five days.
Options-Flow and Event-Risk Pricing Around the November 4 Report
CRH's next scheduled earnings release is 2026-11-04, with the current consensus EPS estimate at $2.43. Heading into that date, options markets typically reprice implied volatility higher to reflect the uncertainty of the print. In this case the historical record matters because the average post-earnings drift is negative and the realized five-day move has frequently been smaller than the gap that the headline number might suggest. For example, the July 2026 beat produced a flat five-day return, while the February 2026 inline result produced a negative 3.68% five-day return. That combination can set up the dynamic where implied volatility gets crushed after the event even if the stock does make a directional move, because the realized move is not consistently large enough to pay for the pre-event premium built into at-the-money straddles or other event structures. Traders watching order flow into November 4 should focus on whether positioning is paying for a binary gap or for the subsequent drift, because the two are not the same trade.
What a Disciplined Trader Watches For
Given that CRH's average earnings surprise is negative 13.1% and its average five-day post-earnings drift is negative 3.51%, a disciplined process treats a one-day gap as only the first chapter of the move. On the inputs side, watch whether management guidance or consensus adjustments move the $2.43 estimate before November 4; on the outputs side, watch how the five-day return develops after the print. The current snapshot shows CRH at $95.01, with an RSI of 34.4 and a 50-day EMA of $104.78, meaning the stock is already trading below its near-term moving average in a technically soft spot. That context can magnify how any post-earnings reaction is read, but it does not make the next move automatic. The key discipline is to separate the binary result from the multi-day drift, compare implied moves against the historical realized drift, and use strict risk parameters rather than the headline beat or miss.
For a deeper dive into how institutional models and sell-side analysts are positioned ahead of the 2026-11-04 report, consult the full institutional verdict on the ticker page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is CRH's historical earnings beat rate?
CRH has beaten the consensus EPS estimate in three of its last eight reported quarters, which is a 50% beat rate. Over that same period, the average earnings surprise is negative 13.1%.
How has CRH stock performed after its most recent earnings reports?
In the most recent four quarters, the stock posted negative next-day returns on three of the four reports despite one beat, one inline result, and one miss. For example, the July 30, 2026 beat produced a 9.4% EPS surprise but a negative 1.03% next-day move and 0% over the following five days, while the April 30, 2026 miss led to a negative 2.51% next-day move and a negative 4.89% five-day move.
When is CRH's next earnings date and what is the current estimate?
CRH is scheduled to report on 2026-11-04, with the current consensus EPS estimate at $2.43. Over the last eight quarters, the average five-day price move after earnings has been negative 3.51%, classified as a downward drift.
| Reported | Actual | Estimate | Surprise | 1D Move | 5D Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $2.21 | $2.02 | +9.4% | -1.03% | null% |
| 2026-04-30 | $-0.27 | $-0.21868 | -23.5% | -2.51% | -4.89% |
| 2026-02-18 | $1.52 | $1.52 | 0% | +0.59% | -3.68% |
| 2025-11-05 | $2.23 | $2.2 | +1.4% | -0.77% | -1.96% |
| 2025-08-06 | $1.94 | $1.94 | 0% | - | - |
| 2025-05-05 | $-0.13789 | $-0.078 | -76.8% | - | - |
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